Seminars, Webinars, & High-level Events

Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility A Bilateral Identification Strategy

April 09, 2026

 

 

The International Monetary Fund–Middle East Center for Economics and Finance (IMF-CEF) and the Euro-Mediterranean Economists Association (EMEA), in collaboration with the EU-Mediterranean and African Network for Economic Studies (EMANES), are pleased to invite you to attend the webinar titled: Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bilateral Identification Strategy

 

This webinar is part of the IMF-CEF / EMEA Joint Research Webinar Series on Regional Economic Policy Challenges aimed at connecting frontier, policy-relevant economic research with pressing macroeconomic and financial policy challenges across the Arab and Mediterranean regions.

 

Date: Thursday, 9 April 2026.

Time: 2:00 to 3:15 pm (Kuwait time)

Zoom link: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_hYn_N06wQcqctQl0JYKOZA

 

Chairs:

Dr. Sami Ben Naceur, IMF-CEF Director & Prof. Rym Ayadi, EMEA President and EMANES Director

Speaker:

Jamel Saadaoui, Professor of Economics at Paris 8 University

Moderator:

Sandra Challita, EMEA Research Fellow and EMANES Coordinator

 

Background:

This webinar examines how shifts in bilateral relations among major economies can affect global macroeconomic volatility. Using oil prices as an illustrative channel, it presents a novel approach to identifying geopolitical turning points and explores how such developments can spill over into the global economy. The analysis centers on U.S.-China relations and then applies the same framework to Japan-China relations, highlighting the wider relevance of the methodology.

A discussion and Q&A session will follow the presentation.

Link to the paper: Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bilateral Identification Strategy